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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 4/12/25

Dollar: The dollar continued its slow decline yesterday, with GBP as an exception. A weak ADP report added to year-end extension expectations, though market reliance on weekly data is inconsistent....

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 3/12/25

EURThe market continues to drift aimlessly, with little significant news to provide direction. Seasonal factors and the anticipation of Hassett’s potential appointment to the Federal Reserve seem to...

Institutional Insights: UBS FX December Seasonal's In Play

The FX market has entered December with a moderate bias toward USD weakness, aligning with a fairly common seasonal trend: the DXY has weakened in December in 8 of the past 10 years. Notably, the two...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow of Funds Update 2/12/25

Goldman Sachs flow experts (Gail Hafif, Brian Garrett, Lee Coppersmith) suggest investors focus on top "deals" despite a generally upward trend into year-end.1. CTAs:- November: CTAs sold...

Institutional FX insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 2/12/25

EURFX remains stagnant within established ranges as we anticipate a slew of news later this month, resulting in a flow-driven lethargy. There seems to be a mix of Hassett noise and term premium...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 1/12/25

EURThe month ended with notable activity, as the dollar extended lower in thin liquidity. Surprisingly, there was no retracement today, even with markets feeling jittery this morning, partly due to...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 28/11/25

December has traditionally been a month where the US dollar (USD) tends to face broad-based selling pressure. Historical FX seasonality trends reveal that the USD has weakened in approximately 70% of...

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank Five BTC Decline Drivers

The 5 Key Drivers of the DeclineThe report identifies five primary factors contributing to the recent bearish momentum:1. Risk-Off Sentiment & Equity Correlation Bitcoin failed to act as a...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key levels 25/11/25

Please refer below for a consolidated recap of the various GS Positioning metrics.Summary:1. CTA Corner:CTAs sold - $33 billion of global equities last week (-$13 billion of US equities). Positioning...